Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.006083 0.006734 0.007441 0.008271 0.009220 0.010278 0.011550
2025-10-05 0.005009 0.005894 0.006934 0.008260 0.009922 0.011961 0.014687
2025-10-12 0.004470 0.005477 0.006726 0.008412 0.010669 0.013641 0.017950
2025-10-19 0.003998 0.005050 0.006407 0.008323 0.011023 0.014792 0.020640
2025-10-26 0.003641 0.004716 0.006151 0.008255 0.011355 0.015909 0.023425
2025-11-02 0.003329 0.004405 0.005880 0.008115 0.011539 0.016802 0.025986
2025-11-09 0.003118 0.004207 0.005740 0.008138 0.011949 0.018075 0.029382
2025-11-16 0.002904 0.003984 0.005541 0.008040 0.012145 0.019013 0.032354
2025-11-23 0.002695 0.003751 0.005303 0.007853 0.012164 0.019638 0.034847
2025-11-30 0.002580 0.003647 0.005248 0.007947 0.012659 0.021159 0.039405
2025-12-07 0.002517 0.003616 0.005301 0.008220 0.013493 0.023425 0.046041
2025-12-14 0.002385 0.003467 0.005155 0.008139 0.013671 0.024449 0.050173
2025-12-21 0.002244 0.003302 0.004979 0.008004 0.013767 0.025391 0.054540
2025-12-28 0.002138 0.003186 0.004877 0.007996 0.014112 0.026933 0.060919
2026-01-04 0.002069 0.003126 0.004862 0.008142 0.014780 0.029295 0.070262
2026-01-11 0.001967 0.003003 0.004731 0.008057 0.014958 0.030576 0.077006
2026-01-18 0.001878 0.002895 0.004616 0.007991 0.015169 0.031971 0.084616
2026-01-25 0.001785 0.002776 0.004474 0.007857 0.015211 0.032959 0.091307
2026-02-01 0.001722 0.002706 0.004414 0.007879 0.015603 0.034920 0.102162
2026-02-08 0.001648 0.002610 0.004301 0.007785 0.015718 0.036167 0.111002
2026-02-15 0.001567 0.002500 0.004154 0.007605 0.015607 0.036775 0.117675
2026-02-22 0.001528 0.002459 0.004135 0.007696 0.016161 0.039401 0.134022
2026-03-01 0.001512 0.002461 0.004195 0.007958 0.017181 0.043665 0.160346